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後巷道友 | 26th May 2009 | 百家之言 羊仔 | (13 Reads)

Subprime is only one of the markets where SOME of the easy credits has been.  The other not-so-obvious one is commercial real estate.  With 1.4 trillion debt coming, Uncle Sam may have to come up with more money again.

From the New York Post (emphasis ours),

At the center of the worries is some $3.5 trillion in debt backed by everything from strip malls to offices and apartments across the nation -- the lion's share of which is badly underwater because this recession followed a five-year commercial property boom fueled by easy money and loose underwriting standards.

Now the owners of the less-than-full malls, apartment complexes and office buildings are succumbing to the worst economic collapse since the Great Depression -- because they can't refinance the debt.

The commercial debt securitization market is dead.

"Because there is no securitization the system cannot process the wave of maturities coming due," said Scott Latham, commercial property broker at Cushman & Wakefield.

"This is arguably the most important fact we're going to be dealing with. If there's no mortgage market that can feed the machine you're just not going to have deals," he said. "It's going to be years before we recover and even when that happens we're going to discover that we're in a new paradigm," Latham added.
 
About $1.4 trillion in real estate debt is set to mature over the next four years, with some $204 billion coming due this year alone.